We’re now through seven weeks of football! Below you’ll find some of my weekly stuff with a few new items.
NEW: Free Agency Class Roles
I’ve been posting roles, snaps, and PFF grade percentiles for draft classes every week, and now I’m going to add to it. Here is that same information for each team’s 2024 & 2025 free agency classes:
And here are the regular draft class updates:
Non-Neutral Time
It was a week of blowouts. Ten different games spent more than a quarter of the game with one team holding a win probability of 90% or higher. We did see a huge comeback in one of those games though when the Broncos stormed back (twice) against the Giants.
Penalties & Turnovers
The Bears have gained a net of 10 expected points per game on turnovers this season, but have given half of that margin back on penalties.
Throwback: PFF Discourse
Feelings about PFF grades have dominated my social media in the last few weeks and this week quarterback grades are the topic du jour. Here is something I created four(!) years ago showing that PFF passing grades around this time of year distinguish themselves as a better solo predictor for rest-of-season production than EPA/dropback itself.
I am a regular defender of the utility of PFF grades and often feel that critics are expecting the grades to be more than what they are, which is an approximation of a player’s ability to fulfill their assignment on a play-to-play basis, even if they don’t necessarily record a box score statistic. That being said, my feeling is that PFF could answer some of their more reasonable challengers by providing some play-level data or presenting their grades on a more intuitive scale (rather than the madden-esc framework they currently use).